That's the finding of "An Oral History of the Bush White House" by Cullen Murphy and Todd Purdum in Vanity Fair. Featuring interviews with people close to Bush about key moments in his presidency, the consensus among Bush's friends and critics alike is that Katrina marked the unraveling point of Bush's presidency and Republican dominance. A couple choice quotes:
Dan Bartlett, White House communications director and later counselor to the president: Politically, it was the final nail in the coffin.
Matthew Dowd, Bush's pollster and chief strategist for the 2004 presidential campaign: Katrina to me was the tipping point. The president broke his bond with the public. Once that bond was broken, he no longer had the capacity to talk to the American public. State of the Union addresses? It didn't matter. Legislative initiatives? It didn't matter. P.R.? It didn't matter. Travel? It didn't matter. I knew when Katrina--I was like, man, you know, this is it, man. We're done.
What's shocking is how little progressives and Democrats understood this. In the months after Katrina, progressives were rightfully pouring into the streets to protest the Iraq war, and blogs and book writers were churning out millions of pages on human rights crimes like CIA torture flights and Abu Ghraib.
But on one of the biggest human rights tragedies within our own borders -- a hurricane which devastated an area the size of Great Britain, killed 1,800 people and uprooted a million residents -- progressives had little to offer.
Democratic leader Rep. Nancy Pelosi didn't make it to the Gulf Coast until six months after Katrina hit. I was in New Orleans when she came, preparing the first of several Institute reports trying to bring national attention to the ongoing crisis in the Gulf. Pelosi told the TV cameras she was "shocked" at the devastation she saw. Locals just rolled their eyes -- Pelosi only underscored how out of touch Congressional Democrats were with what was happening in the Gulf Coast.
Each time our team went to interview residents in New Orleans and coastal Mississippi, we got the same questions: Why aren't they doing anything in Washington? Where's the outrage? Where's the legislation? Has the country forgotten about us?
The strange thing is that the country hadn't forgotten about Katrina. Millions of people -- especially faith groups -- cared deeply and took action, committing time and money to deliver supplies, rebuild houses and help those in need. There was a massive constituency across the country ready to be mobilized around the cause of Gulf Coast recovery.
But progressives dropped the ball. Even after Democrats recaptured Congress in 2006 -- more the result of Katrina than anything done by Howard Dean and Rahm Emanuel -- there was little movement on rebuilding New Orleans' ramshackle levees or addressing the crisis of affordable housing.
There was no shortage of good ideas: In spring 2007, we released an entire report on concrete policy propsals coming from Gulf Coast leaders on how to jump-start the failing recovery. But aside from a few token pieces of legislation, none were honestly pursued.
The results of that failure of progressive leadership are with us today. Thousands of Gulf families are still struggling and displaced. Affordable housing is scarce. Hundreds of miles of Louisiana coast are still being destroyed, removing a critical natural defense against future storms.
Katrina wasn't just the turning point for Bush and Republicans. It also marked an almost incomprehensible failure of Democratic and progressive leadership -- with deadly consequences.




I have gone over and over and over in my mind how our country could so totally abandon us. My only answer is that the polls (the American public) told the politicians we were not worth the help. And for that I can never forgive my own country.
December 30, 2008 10:12 PM | Reply
When the Kosites decided to meet in Austin instead of New Orleans, I left some of the last threads tying me to the progressive movement or Democratic politics slipping away, the last ties to what I had taken to calling in my blog Wet Bank Guide "the central government".
The potential of Obama snapped me out of it, and I turned out to vote for Obama and Landrieu and the rest of the Democratic ticket. But the pain of progressives who would abandon New Orleans over the abortion policies of Baton Rouge told me the story: they would throw anyone under the bus in a minute.
New Orleans, we are reminded time and again, is on it's own. We have had more help from the Christian Right (from evangelical churches who have sent members in the tens of thousands to help us) than we have from the so-called Progressives.
It is a message we will not soon forget.
Sinn Fein.
January 5, 2009 7:06 AM | Reply
Great article. After 3 years...I believe the answer to why the progressives and others turned away was manipulated perception. Perception is the new realty and whoever sows the tiny seeds to the winds the earliest and hands out buckets of talking points, control the public's perception. Repubs, along w/the media unfairly branded the Dem. woman Gov as inept, out of touch and a failure (even to many in her own state) by merely releasing misinformation primarily thru clueless talking heads, clever photo ops and handy newsbites. Facts be damned...people believed what they wanted...especially with their preconceived notions of 'those people' in the South. Those notions promoted by politicians, folklore, movies and novels that everyone are 'racists, nothing but crooked politicians, the welfare hordes, the illiterates, the Republican South'...evidently many thought 'why should anyone care'...maybe they were thinking in the backs of their minds that the people in the Gulf States deserved it a little--and anyway, everyone knows that New Orleans is below sea-level and the sea is rising--so whats the big deal, don't rebuild it-'people are stupid to live there, move it'... were just a few of the 'progressive' comments I read on the blogs. No one seemed to look at the entire picture of this disaster or actually three disasters (if you count Katrina, the fed levee failure in NOLA and Hurricane Rita less than 3 weeks later) then or now.
January 6, 2009 2:40 AM | Reply